Innovation dans l'expertise
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  • Governing by Prediction Conference
    • Program
  • Colloques de restitution
    • Modèles, prévisions et scénarios dans les politiques de l'énergie et de l'agriculture - 9 juin 2017
    • Produire la prédiction: le travail de modélisation pour l'évaluation des risques - 19 juin 2017
    • Sécurité et justice: le défi des algorithmes - 27 juin 2017
  • Séminaire & ateliers
    • Séminaire du projet 2015 -2017
    • Modélisation, simulation et prédiction dans l’action publique - 02/2015
    • Modeling, simulation, scenarization and algorithms in public policy and debate - 07/2015
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.Computation, be it based on statistical modelling or newest techniques of predictive analytics, holds the promise to be able to anticipate and act infallibly on futures and uncertain situations more generally. That the future is an object of governmental knowledge and action is nothing new though. What is the characteristic of today’s relationship with futures in policy making and action? To what extent do the means of computation, from statistical models to learning algorithms employed in predictive analytics change this relationship, and the collective capacity and legitimacy to engage with future, uncertain situations? How do technologies of prediction change policies? Who predicts, how, and with what effects on decisions and administration and on their politics? More generally, how do ways of predicting institutionalize, fail to do so, or change?

This international event concludes the ANR-funded INNOX research project. It will take place at the Musée des Arts et Métiers on 11-13 September 2017. Contributions on modelling and prediction in matters of health, environment, climate, agriculture, security, crime and urban management, will be offered by a range of international speakers. The conference will be in English, with no translation provided.


Registration is closed for the event/inscriptions closes

Salle de conférence du Musée des Arts et Métiers
292 rue Saint-Martin, 75003 Paris


Don't go to the Musée at 60 Rue Réaumur, as this entrance will be closed.
L'accès à la salle ne peut se faire par le Musée

After going through security, walk ahead towards entrance number 3
Après avoir passé le porche d'entrée et la sécurité, avancer tout droit vers l'accès 3




Keynote speakers

Claudia Aradau
Professor of International Politics in the Department of War Studies, King’s College London. Her research has developed a critical political analysis of security practices. Among her publications are Politics of Catastrophe: Genealogies of the Unknown (with Rens van Munster, 2011) and Critical Security Methods: New Frameworks for Analysis (co-edited with Jef Huysmans, Andrew Neal and Nadine Voelkner, 2015). Her recent work examines security assemblages and Big Data, with a particular focus on the production of (non)knowledge. She is currently writing a book with Tobias Blanke on algorithmic reason and the new government of self and other. She is on the editorial collective of Radical Philosophy and an associate editor of Security Dialogue.

Paul N. Edwards
Paul N. Edwards is William J. Perry Fellow in International Security at Stanford University and Professor of Information at the University of Michigan. He writes and teaches about the history, politics, and culture of information infrastructures. Edwards is the author of A Vast Machine: Computer Models, Climate Data, and the Politics of Global Warming (MIT Press, 2010) and The Closed World: Computers and the Politics of Discourse in Cold War America (MIT Press, 1996), and co-editor of Changing the Atmosphere: Expert Knowledge and Environmental Governance (MIT Press, 2001), as well as numerous articles.

Stephen Hilgartner
Professor of Science and Technology Studies, Cornell University. He is the author of Science & Democracy: Making Knowledge and Making Power in the Biosciences and Beyond, Stephen Hilgartner, Clark Miller, and Rob Hagendijk, eds., Routledge (2015), et de Science on Stage: Expert Advice as Public Drama, Stanford University Press, 2000. He co-edited "The Anticipatory State: Making Policy-Relevant Knowledge about the Future," a special issue of Science & Public Policy (volume 8, no. 8, October 2008).


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Other featured speakers

Stefan Aykut (Hamburg University)
Bilel Benbouzid (UPEM, Laboratoire Interdisciplinaire Sciences Innovations Sociétés)
Henri Boullier (IFRIS, CERMES3)
Dominique Cardon (Sciences Po., Medialab)
Christophe Cassen (Centre Internationale de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement - CIRED)
Béatrice Cointe (Centre Internationale de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement - CIRED)
Eric Dagiral (Centre de Recherche sur les Liens Sociaux - CERLIS, Université Paris Descartes)
Amy Dahan (Centre Alexandre Koyré, CNRS)
François Dedieu (INRA, Laboratoire Interdisciplinaire Sciences Innovations Sociétés)
David Demortain (INRA, Laboratoire Interdisciplinaire Sciences Innovations Sociétés)
Céline Granjou (Institut National de Recherche en Sciences et Technologies pour l'Environnement et l'Agriculture)
David Guéranger (Ponts Paris Tech, Laboratoire Technique Territoire et Sociétés)
Pierre-Benoit Joly (INRA, Laboratoire Interdisciplinaire Sciences Innovations Sociétés)
Francis Lee (Uppsala University)
Adrian Mackenzie (Lancaster University)
Grégoire Mallard (The Graduate Institute, Geneva)
Alain Nadai (Centre Internationale de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement - CIRED)
Sylvain Parasie (UPEM, Laboratoire Interdisciplinaire Sciences Innovations Sociétés)
Samuel Randalls (University College London)
Dirk Scheer (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology)




Program

Time
Monday 11 September
9.30-10.30
Registration
10.30-11.00
Introduction - David DEMORTAIN
11h-12h30
Keynote speech - Steve HILGARTNER, Cornell University - "Building Knowledge: Models, Predictions, Credibility, and Sociotechnical Change"
12.30-14.00
Lunch
-
Session 1 - Communities and Agendas of Modelling for Policy - Chair: Amy DAHAN
14.00-14.45
Bruno DORIN and Pierre-Benoit JOLY: “A political economy of global agricultural modelling”.
14.45-15.30
Christophe CASSEN, Béatrice COINTE and Alain NADAI : “Organizing policy relevant Expertise on Climate Action: the Community of Integrating Assessment Modelling”
15.30-16.00
Coffee break
16.00-16.45
Samuel RANDALLS : “Making resilience predictable: exploring the predictive politics of the modelling and generation of resilience”
16.45-17.30
Stefan AYKUT: “Reassembling energy policy. Models, forecasts, and policy change in Germany and France”

Time
Tuesday 12 September
9.00-10.30
Keynote speech - Claudia ARADAU, King’s College London - "Governing others: Anomaly and the algorithmic subject of security"
10.30-11.00
Coffee break
-
Session 2 - Tools of computation and prediction, and their politics - Chair: Eric DAGIRAL
11.00-11.40
Bilel BENBOUZID : “An Inquiry into Predictive Policing : Science, Organization and Law"
11.40-12.20
David GUERANGER : “Instilling fear, without being hated. Explaining the political strength of an IT infrastructure for the maintenance of road networks”
12.20-13.00
François DEDIEU and Sylvain PARASIE : “Conflicting or complementing data? Institutionalizing community-based air monitoring in California”
13.00-14.00-
Lunch
-
Session 3 - Machine learning as Predicting - Chair: David DEMORTAIN
14.00-14.40
Dominique CARDON : “Personalized prediction and machine learning methods in tools for web computation"
14.40-15.20
Adrian MACKENZIE: "Techniques of the Predictor: generalizing complex populations"
15.20-15.50
Coffee break
-
Session 4 - Counting, monitoring and predicting risks - Chair: Stefan AYKUT
15.50-16.30
Henri BOULLIER and David DEMORTAIN : “The economy of predictive knowledge : software tools to predict chemicals risk in REACH”
16.30-17.10
Francis LEE: “Where is Zika? Exploring the ambiguities of algorithms, data and judgment”

x
Wednesday 13 September
.
Session 5 - Simulation and Anticipation - Chair: Pierre-Benoit JOLY
09.45-10.30
Céline GRANJOU: “Politics of environmental anticipation. The case of the ecotrons, a predictive infrastructure for ecological science.”
10.30-11.00
Coffee break
11.00-11.45
Grégoire MALLARD : “The art of simulation: Speech norms and social glue in disarmament talks in the Middle East”
11.45-12.30
Dirk SCHEER : “A framework conceptualizing scientific simulation and policy-making”
12.30-14.00
Lunch
14.00-15.30
Keynote speech - Paul EDWARDS, Stanford University and University of Michigan - "Knowledge Infrastructures under Siege: Environmental Data Systems as Memory, Truce, and Target"
15.30-15.45
Coffee break
15.45-16.30
Final round-table - With Amy DAHAN, Emmanuel DIDIER, Paul EDWARDS and Steve HILGARTNER.
16.30
Wrap-up

Organizing committee/contact

David Demortain [demortain@inra-ifris.org], Stefan Aykut, Bilel Benbouzid, Jean-Philippe Cointet, François Dedieu, Pierre-Benoit Joly, Théo Moreau, Sylvain Parasie, Antoine Schoen

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